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Analysis

Submitted policy briefs and opinion editorials, and curated analytical pieces from various sources.

June 21, 2024

Malaysian PM Says China a ‘True Friend’ and Not to be Feared as Chinese Premier Ends Visit

Associated Press, for The Diplomat

As China’s Li Qiang wrapped up his visit, Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim dismissed concerns that Beijing sought to “abuse its privilege and extort” Malaysia.

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June 18, 2024

The South China Sea Dog That Hasn’t Barked … Yet

Zack Cooper & Gregory Poling, for War on the Rocks

Vietnam has been busy. In recent months, it has exponentially expanded the size of several features it controls in the Spratly Islands, including Barque Canada Reef, Namyit Island, Pearson Reef, and Discovery Great Reef. China appears to have allowed these expansion efforts to occur largely…

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June 17, 2024

Taiwan’s Coast Guard Under Fire After Chinese National Rides a Speedboat to New Taipei

Brian Hioe, for The Diplomat

A former PLAN officer, surnamed Ruan, reportedly wanted to defect to Taiwan, but the incident has raised concerns about Taiwan’s coastal defense.

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June 15, 2024

Philippines files U.N. claim to extended continental shelf in South China Sea

Nikkei Asia

The Philippines filed a claim with the U.N. on Saturday to an extended continental shelf (ECS) in the South China Sea, a waterway where it has had increasingly confrontational maritime disputes with China.

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June 11, 2024

Controversy Rages over President Yoon’s Announcement of New Deep-Sea Drilling

Eunwoo Lee, for The Diplomat

Yoon needs something to revive his approval rating to save his presidency, and he’s hoping for a natural gas bonanza.

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June 10, 2024

Asean coast guards agree to set rules on disputed waters

Frances Mangosing, for INQUIRER.net

MANILA, Philippines — The coast guards of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) have agreed to establish a set of rules that would “shape common norm” in the face of China’s arbitrary rules in the South China Sea.

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June 9, 2024

Tarriela: Vietnam minds its own affairs, not harassing Filipino fishers

Faith Argosino, for INQUIRER.net

Vietnam is focused on “minding its own affairs” and does not harass Filipino fisherfolk in the West Philippine Sea, an official of the Philippine Coast Guard said on Sunday, amid reports of the former’s increased dredging and landfill work in the South China Sea (SCS).

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June 7, 2024

Hanoi In High Gear: Vietnam’s Spratly Expansion Accelerates

Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative, CSIS

Vietnam has significantly accelerated the expansion of its outposts in the Spratly Islands over the last six months, creating almost as much new land as it had in the previous two years combined and putting Hanoi on pace for a record year of island building in 2024.

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June 7, 2024

Responding to a More Coercive Chinese Coast Guard and a Potential PRC Quarantine of Taiwan

Johnstone and Bonny Lin, for CSIS

On May 23 and 24, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) conducted its latest large-scale military exercise (Joint Sword-2024A) along with law enforcement operations around Taiwan, signaling the growing PRC threat of a quarantine or blockade of Taiwan. As part of a range of PRC activities, China…

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