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Analysis

Submitted policy briefs and opinion editorials, and curated analytical pieces from various sources.

July 6, 2024

A New Chinese Buoy Is Causing Concern in Japan

Andrew Orchard, for The Diplomat

Tokyo says a Chinese ship placed a small buoy in the Shikoku Basin along Japan’s southern continental shelf. Beijing says it is for tsunami observation.

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July 5, 2024

Navigating cross-strait relations after President Lai’s inauguration

Jade Guan, Deakin University, for East Asia Forum

New Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te's pro-independence stance has intensified cross-strait relations. But China's strategic goals towards Taiwan remain consistent under Xi Jinping. While Beijing may adopt a mix of hard and soft tactics, its overall strategy is unlikely to change significantly.…

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July 3, 2024

Indonesia needs to look ahead after securing new submarines

Yokie Rahmad Isjchwansyah, Paramadina University, for East Asia Forum

After an extended negotiation process, Indonesia has agreed to purchase two new submarines from French manufacturer Naval Group in 2024 to enhance its submarine fleet. But concerns regarding Indonesia's defence abilities have focused on its lack of submarine rescue capabilities and the need for…

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June 28, 2024

Philippines Must ‘Do More’ on South China Sea, Marcos Says

Sebastian Strangio, for The Diplomat

Will Manila request greater U.S. assistance in its ongoing stand-off with China at Second Thomas Shoal?

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June 26, 2024

Philippines Says it Wants ‘Dialogue’ With China Following Maritime Clash

Sebastian Strangio, for The Diplomat

The country’s top diplomat says that the country will pursue “confidence building measures,” but is “not blind” to recent incidents in the South China Sea.

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June 25, 2024

How to equip the US Coast Guard against China’s grey-zone operations

Molly Pflaum, for ASPI The Strategic

America’s allies in the Indo-Pacific are getting pretty familiar with China’s grey-zone maritime behaviour, but the United States itself is ill-prepared for dealing with it.

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June 24, 2024

Malaysia’s Sea Nomads: Trapped Between Southeast Asia’s High and Low Politics

Mustika Indah Khairina and Wengki Ariando, for The Diplomat

Sea nomads have faced decades of discrimination in postcolonial Southeast Asia. Malaysia’s recent mass evictions of the Bajau Laut are just the latest example.

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June 22, 2024

Vietnam Says It’s Ready to Hold Talks With Philippines on Overlapping Continental Shelf Claims

Aniruddha Ghosal and Jim Gomez, for The Diplomat

The diplomatic approach contrasts with China’s increasingly assertive actions to fortify its claims in the South China Sea.

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June 21, 2024

High noon at Second Thomas Shoal

Euan Graham, for ASPI The Strategic

China has identified the beleaguered garrison at Second Thomas Shoal as a weak link among the South China Sea features physically occupied by the Philippines and, by extension, the US-Philippines alliance.

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