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Analysis

Submitted policy briefs and opinion editorials, and curated analytical pieces from various sources.

August 8, 2024

Can China and the Philippines Save Their South China Sea Understanding?

Christian Schultheiss, for The Diplomat

An analysis of the Philippines’ recent resupply mission to Second Thomas Shoal suggests that the understanding can, in fact, satisfy both sides’ red lines.

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August 7, 2024

China’s Environmental Focus in South China Sea: Questionable Motivations

Lye Liang Fook, for FULCRUM

China has filed reports on environmental protection in the South China Sea to counter the Philippines’ claim of severe damage to the marine ecosystem at Scarborough Shoal and thwart Manila’s effort to file a legal case against China. But Beijing’s efforts provoke some serious questions about its…

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August 3, 2024

Will Kinmen Be Taiwan’s Crimea?

Sam Goodman, for The Diplomat

A relatively pro-China population and proximity to the mainland mean Beijing might test the waters by attempting to annex the Kinmen Islands.

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August 3, 2024

The Problem of US Military Access in a Non-Aligned Indo-Pacific

Lucas Myers, for The Diplomat

A persistent commitment to hedging in South and Southeast Asia raises concerns about U.S. force projection into the region during a potential conflict with China.

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August 1, 2024

India Offers $300 Million Loan to Build Up Vietnam’s Maritime Security, Saying It is A Key Partner

Ashok Sharma, for AP News

India on Thursday offered a $300 million loan to build up Vietnam’s maritime security, as the two sides said they want to double their trade and investment within five years.

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July 30, 2024

Pacific land reclamation deserves support

Mike Copage, for ASPI The Strategist

Pacific island countries, and low-lying lands globally, are on the front lines of climate change. From rising sea-levels to intensifying cyclone impacts, vulnerable food and economic security, they face a great many risks. Equally, the history of Pacific islanders revolves around learning and…

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July 28, 2024

Vietnam’s land reclamation helps balance power in South China Sea

Alexander L. Vuving, for Nikkei Asia

Hanoi's strategic moves offer hope against China's aggressive island building

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July 26, 2024

The Puzzle of Chinese Escalation vs Restraint in the South China Sea

Andrew Taffer, for War On The Rocks

Tensions between China and the Philippines have escalated dramatically in recent months around Second Thomas Shoal, a submerged reef in the eastern Spratly Islands. The Chinese Coast Guard has repeatedly attempted to block delivery of food, water, and building supplies to the Philippine marine…

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July 24, 2024

Fisherfolk Want Gov’t To Take More Concrete Action In WPS

Nestor Corrales, for INQUIRER.NET

The leader of a group of Filipino fisherfolk exposed to China’s frequent harassment in the West Philippine Sea (WPS) has urged the government to take more concrete action to allow them to fish freely.

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