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Analysis

Submitted policy briefs and opinion editorials, and curated analytical pieces from various sources.

August 28, 2024

Malaysia and the South China Sea Dispute: A Sea Change Under Prime Minister Anwar?

Ian Storey, for FULCRUM

Malaysia’s position on the South China Sea dispute vis-à-vis China has remained remarkably consistent.

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August 27, 2024

Japan coast guard plans to build its largest patrol vessel

Kyodo News

At around 30,000 tons, the new vessel, due to be put into commission in fiscal 2029, would far eclipse the coast guard's currently largest ship of around 6,500 tons.

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August 22, 2024

Shifting Tactics At Second Thomas Shoal

Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative, CSIS

Though tensions have been growing between China and the Philippines at Second Thomas Shoal since 2021, shifts in tactics by Chinese coast guard and militia in 2024 have led to more damage being sustained by Philippine vessels, more injuries to Philippine personnel, and a higher risk of escalation.

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August 16, 2024

US-Maldives bilateral ties: Embracing the US role as a capacity builder

Chiquita Widjaja Undergraduate International Relations student at Tokyo International University (TIU)

The United States should prove itself a reliable and supportive partner to the Maldives by helping to meet Maldivian foreign policy goals in the fields of environmental security and institution-building.

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August 15, 2024

The Philippines and West Philippine Sea: Bringing Deterrence Into the Picture

Maria Gabriela Alano & Deryk Baladjay, for The Diplomat

The Philippines needs to start investing in a credible deterrence strategy if it wants to secure its interests in the West Philippine Sea.

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August 13, 2024

Philippines Protests Chinese Air Force Jets’ Firing of Flares in the Path of Patrol Plane

Jim Gomez, for The Diplomat

The encounter over Scarborough Shoal was the first aerial run-in since high-seas hostilities between Beijing and Manila in the South China Sea started to flare last year.

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August 13, 2024

Philippines-Vietnam drills show ASEAN a solution to China

Ramon Royandoyan, for Nikkei Asia

The Philippine and Vietnamese coast guards have completed joint training exercises near the West Philippine Sea, a not-so-subtle message to a mutual rival vying for control of the South China Sea.

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August 10, 2024

The Cyberspace Impact of a Maritime Crisis in Southeast Asia

Muhammad Faizal Bin Abdul Rahman, for The Diplomat

A China-U.S. maritime conflict would heavily impact Southeast Asia – including in the cyber domain.

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August 9, 2024

High hurdles for achieving squad goals in the South China Sea

Prisie Patnayak, Jawaharlal Nehru University, for East Asia Forum

The Squad, a minilateral bloc involving the United States, Australia, Japan and the Philippines, is currently seen as a potential deterrent against Chinese aggression in the South China Sea. But with the Philippines lacklustre military capability, ASEAN's regulations preventing Manila from using…

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